The Millennial vote the potential to have a greater impact on the 2016 election than any race before. The question is, will they show up at the polls?
By the numbers
In 2015, Millennials – people 18-to-34 years old – became the most populous generation of voting age, overtaking the previously most populous Baby Boomers. By 2028, there are expected to be about 15 million more Millennials than Boomers or Gen-Xers.
When Pew looked at the numbers of people 18-to-35 years old who were eligible to vote, that number (69.2 million) was roughly equivalent to the number of eligible Boomers (69.7 million). Each of those generations accounts for about 31 percent of eligible voters.
Hear that? Millennials comprise one-third of the electorate in the United States. By sheer numbers, their impact at the polls could be massive.
The other numbers that count
Census Bureau data for voter turnout in previous presidential elections shows that, historically, young adults tend not to wield their power at the polls.
In 2012, only 45 percent of people aged 18-to-29 turned out on Election Day; other generations’ turnout ranged from 59.5 percent to 72 percent.
Voters aged 18-to-44 have consistently been less present at the polls than older voters since the 1970s. Turnout rates for the youngest eligible voters, between 18-and-24 years old, have been fluctuating between the low 30s and mid-40s percent-wise, and 25-to-44 year olds hugged around 50 percent turnout rate in the last five presidential elections…