Legal Insurrection Breaks Down the Senate Races

Originally published by Legal Insurrection

With election day only two days away, control of the Senate is still unclear as several states are simply too close to call. A big, unanswered question is the impact the presidential race will have on Senate races.

Real Clear Politics co-founder Tom Bevan discusses the impact the top of the ticket winner may have on the Senate races.

“If Hillary Clinton wins and wins substantially on November 8, Democrats will mostly likely win many of these very competitive Senate races, and probably win enough to take back the Senate,” Bevan said. “If Donald Trump wins, that will mean Republicans will probably be able to defend.”


The Washington Post identifies 12 Senate races that may be pivotal in determining which party controls the Senate: Arizona, California, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Of these, WaPo notes that the Republican is likely to win two of these states:  Arizona (John McCain) and Ohio (Rob Portman)

Democrats, WaPo notes, are also likely to win two of these states:  California (Kamala Harris), Illinois (Tammy Duckworth)

That leaves the following eight races as key states to watch:  Florida (Marco Rubio, R and Patrick Murphy, D), Illinois (Mark Kirk, R and Tammy Duckworth, D), Indiana (Evan Byah, D and Todd Young, R), Missouri (Jason Kander, D and Roy Blunt, R), Nevada (Joe Heck, R and Catherine Cortez Masto, D), New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte, R and Maggie Hassan, D), North Carolina (Richard Burr, R and Deborah Ross, D), Pennsylvania (Patrick J. Toomey, R and Katie McGinty, D), Wisconsin (Ron Johnson, R and Russ Feingold, D).

In Florida, the Senate race has become surprisingly…

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