Everyone has a system! Pundits are agonizing over national, or swing state polls, or as described in my buddy Ed Morrissey’s book “Going Red,” looking at the trends in the key counties in those swing states (if you haven’t read the book yet..make sure you do before the election). Quite honestly all these polls and demographic research is very hard work. Heck Karl Rove is still trying to figure out who won Ohio in the 2012 election. There are much easier ways to predict the presidential election. And the best part is that in the case of these alternate methods there is no math involved. These predictors use everything from the candidate’s hair style to the Washington Redskins to foretell the next POTUS.
World Series Winner: Beginning with the 1952 Election, every time an American League team won the MLB World Series a Republican wins the presidency. That worked for seven straight elections. But beginning with the first Reagan victory, it stopped working (at least for 4 out of the next 5 contests). It seems to be back on track as this trend was accurate for the last four elections. Personally this one puts me in a difficult position, with the National League NY Mets leading in the race for a wild-card spot in the MLB playoffs. If the Mets secure the spot how can I root for my favorite team to win the World Series if a win means a Clinton presidency?
The Redskins Rule: According to the Washington Times, the this rule “has an accuracy rate of either 94 or 100 percent” of predicting presidential elections, depending on how the rule is applied. Every time the Redskins win their final home game before a presidential election, the candidate representing the incumbent party remains in office. Every time they lose, the incumbent party’s candidate loses as well. It’s a predictor that has worked in 17 of 18 presidential elections since the Redskins arrived in Washington. (Some argue the rule is 18-for-18; more on that in a second.)